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Think Progress

March 2, 2009
by Faiz Shakir, Amanda Terkel, Satyam Khanna, Matt Corley, Benjamin Armbruster, Ali Frick, Ryan Powers, and Matt Duss
IRAQ

Ending The War

On Friday, Feb. 27, 2009, President Obama announced a firm date for the end of the U.S. military intervention in Iraq. "Let me say this as plainly as I can: by August 31, 2010, our combat mission in Iraq will end," he declared. A transitional force of between 30-50,000 troops would remain in Iraq temporarily. "Through this period of transition, we will carry out further redeployments," he explained, "and under the Status of Forces Agreement with the Iraqi government, I intend to remove all U.S. troops from Iraq by the end of 2011." Obama said that the removal of U.S. forces should make clear that "Iraq’s future is now its own responsibility. The long-term success of the Iraqi nation will depend upon decisions made by Iraq’s leaders and the fortitude of the Iraqi people." Soldiers at Camp Lejeune, NC, where the president made the announcement, voiced support for the withdrawal. In Iraq, Pvt. John R. Brown spoke for many Americans when he told the New York Times, "I thought the war would go on and on. ... I thought it would never end."

THE COSTS OF A MISBEGOTTEN WAR: The United States began the Iraq war in 2003 under the pretext of disarming Saddam Hussein of weapons that he did not possess, and out of fear of an Iraq-al Qaeda relationship that did not exist. The United States remained in Iraq as an occupying force, struggling to rebuild an Iraqi state with no clear strategy, unclear goals, and little understanding of the violent forces that would be unleashed and enabled by incompetent American political leadership. "The number of casualties among Iraqis is disputed but most counts put the military and civilian death toll at about 100,000," with far more wounded and more than four million displaced from their homes. Economists Linda Bilmes and Joseph Stiglitz have calculated that the war will ultimately cost the U.S. over $3 trillion. Since 2003, over 4,200 U.S. troops have been killed and more than 30,000 wounded. Stressing America's "commitment to uphold our sacred trust with every man and woman who has served in Iraq," the President promised to "raise military pay, and continue providing quality child-care, job-training for spouses, and expanded counseling and outreach to families that have known the separation and stress of war."

REGIONAL FOCUS: The U.S.'s relationship with Iraq will not end with the withdrawal of troops. Continued diplomatic and development support will be essential to help facilitate political accommodation and economic growth. "As the U.S. troop presence declines, the need for greater third-party engagement with Iraq’s internal tensions and conflicts will increase," wrote Center for American Progress Senior Fellow Brian Katulis, "particularly along tense fault lines like the Arab-Kurdish divide in northern Iraq." Sen. Bob Casey (D-PA) has called for a "diplomatic surge" to "help broker national reconciliation efforts in Iraq and ensure that Iraq’s neighbors are properly invested in its future." Effective regional diplomacy will recognize that many of the key challenges in the Middle East -- Iraq, Iran, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict -- are interlinked. "Every issue in the Middle East is kind of connected to other issues," Lee Hamilton, president of the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars and former chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, told Middle East Progress last month. "Progress in any area will have positive spillovers in other areas. If Iraq settles down, that removes a real irritant in the region. If you made progress in Iran on the nuclear question it would have a huge impact with regard to Israel, greatly increasing the security of Israel, and relieving the Israelis of their major security concern. ... Progress anywhere will enhance the prospects for progress elsewhere."

A PROGRESSIVE NATIONAL SECURITY FRAMEWORK: Speaking of the lessons learned from Iraq, Obama said that "America must go to war with clearly defined goals, which is why I've ordered a review of our policy in Afghanistan. ... We have learned that in the 21st century, we must use all elements of American power to achieve our objectives, which is why I am committed to building our civilian national security capacity so that the burden is not continually pushed on to our military." In mid-February, Obama announced the addition of 17,000 troops to Afghanistan. Importantly, however, the president also said that he was "absolutely convinced that you cannot solve the problem of Afghanistan, the Taliban, the spread of extremism in that region solely through military means. ... We're going to have to use diplomacy. We're going to have to use development." Utilizing America's full range of powers has been a central element of the national security policies promoted by the Center for American Progress.

UNDER THE RADAR

CIVIL RIGHTS -- REP. TAUSCHER TO INTRODUCE BILL OVERTURNING 'DON'T ASK DON'T TELL': This afternoon, Rep. Ellen Tauscher (D-CA) will introduce legislation to overturn the military's ban on gay service members. She will speak about the legislation at the Center for American Progress Action Fund today with Ret. Marine Staff Sergeant Eric Alva -- the first American wounded in the war in Iraq who has since come out and now advocates against the military's "Don't Ask, Don't Tell" (DADT) policy. In a new article on the cost of the military's gay ban, CAP Senior Fellow Larry Korb notes that since 1994, the ban has resulted in the dismissal of more than 13,000 military personnel across the services, "including approximately 800 with skills deemed 'mission critical,' such as pilots, combat engineers, and linguists." Support for gay people in the military has grown dramatically, with 75 percent of Americans now in support, up from 62 percent in 2001 and 44 percent in 1993. In January, Defense Secretary Robert Gates said President Obama is "committed to following through" on his promise to end the ban on gay servicemen. When asked whether Obama would overturn DADT, Press Secretary Robert Gibbs replied, "[Y]ou don't hear a politician give a one-word answer much. But it's, 'Yes.'"

RADICAL RIGHT -- CANTOR TRIES TO DISTANCE HIMSELF FROM LIMBAUGH'S HOPE THAT OBAMA FAILS: Yesterday, on ABC's This Week, host George Stephanopoulos asked House Republican Whip Eric Cantor (R-VA) whether he subscribes to Rush Limbaugh's hope that President Obama fails. Cantor responded, "George, absolutely not. I don't think anyone wants anything to fail right now. We have such challenges. What we need to do is put forth solutions to the problems that real families are facing today." Apparently, Cantor hasn't been paying attention. Limbaugh reiterated his hope that Obama fails on Saturday. In fact, as ThinkProgress has documented, the list of right-wingers who share Limbaugh's hope that Obama fails is growing. Just this week, Rick Santorum declared, "Absolutely we hope his policies fail." Asked whether he wants Obama to fail, former House Majority Leader Tom DeLay responded, "Well, exactly right. I don't want this for our nation," while Michelle Malkin said, "Yes, I hope that fails." On Friday, Limbaugh crowed, "The dirty little secret...is that every Republican in this country wants Obama to fail, but none of them have the guts to say so; I am willing to say it." According to Limbaugh,  Cantor must be one of those Republicans without the guts to say what he really feels.

MEDIA -- POST OMBUDSMAN FINDS FLAWS IN FACT-CHECKING OF GEORGE WILL'S CLIMATE CHANGE COLUMN: In a column yesterday, Washington Post ombudsman Andrew Alexander addressed the ongoing criticism of George Will's Feb. 15 column, "Dark Green Doomsayers," in which Will dismissed as "eco-pessimists" energy secretary Steven Chu and others who believe in man-made global warming. While the Post's editors have jumped to defend Will, Alexander admitted that the Post made mistakes both during the fact checking process and in the public dispute that followed. Referring to Will's use of data from the Arctic Research Climate Center to show that global sea ice levels are "now equal those of 1979," Alexander wrote, "I reviewed the same Web citation and reached a different conclusion." "It said that while global sea ice areas are 'near or slightly lower than those observed in late 1979,' sea ice are in the Northern Hemisphere is 'almost one million sq. km below' the levels of late 1979. ... In my mind, it should have triggered a call for clarification to the center." While Alexander also said that "readers would have been better served" if the Post had responded to the controversy more quickly, he failed to offer a correction and did not address any of the other factual errors in Will's column. As Discover contributing editor Carl Zimmer noted, "When fact-checkers write up their reports, they do not just look at one paragraph and call it a day. I don't understand why that is acceptable for a report from an ombudsman about the accuracy of a newspaper column."


THINK FAST

Last night the federal government agreed to provide an additional $30 billion in taxpayer money to the American International Group. AIG is expected to report a $62 billion loss today, the biggest quarterly loss of any company in history. The U.S. government already owns 80 percent of AIG’s holding company as the result of four previous financial interventions totaling $150 billion.

President Obama is putting his effort to pass health-care-reform legislation into high gear this week. "The president will announce Kansas Gov. Kathleen Sebelius as his choice to head HHS on Monday afternoon, and he may also name a new director of the White House office on health reform." Later in the week, the White House will host a summit to discuss overhauling the health care system.

The Washington Times reports that the pharmaceutical industry has directed large sums of money to a charity that Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-UT) helped found. "The donations, $172,500 in all, came at the same time that the Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America (PhRMA) was paying one of Mr. Hatch's sons, Scott, to be its lobbyist in Congress."

Office of Management and Budget Director Peter Orszag said yesterday that "the White House would consider using a Senate procedural tactic so that only 50 votes would be required to pass major healthcare and energy reforms." Speaking on ABC’s This Week, Orszag said the administration would prefer not to use the budget reconciliation process to push the reforms through, but added, "We have to keep everything on the table."

President Obama's web team is struggling to work in a White House that does not have the technology to send out mass e-mails or text messages to supporters from President Obama. "Beyond the technological upgrades needed to enable text broadcasts, there are security and privacy rules to sort out involving the collection of cellphone numbers."

"A Gallup poll of Muslims in the United States has found that they are far more likely than people in Muslim countries to see themselves as thriving." The poll also finds that Muslims "are the least content religious group, when compared with Jews, Mormons, Protestants and Roman Catholics."

Former CAP staffer and Deputy White House Counsel Cassandra Butts has been chosen to head the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission, "which has been beset by shrinking staff, plummeting morale and a growing backlog of job discrimination cases to investigate." Butts "would provide a much-needed spark" to the commission.

And finally, late last week, Rep. Jeff Flake (R-AZ) and Rep. Jackie Speier (D-CA) got stuck in an elevator for about 20 minutes with a dozen Samoan students. "Flake and Speier did what they do best: They worked the elevator," talking to the students about their experiences in Hawaii and Samoans in their districts. The students were part of a Close-Up visit to Washington. "That's a close-up experience, all right," Politico noted.



GOOD NEWS

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has pledged $300 million in humanitarian aid for war-torn Gaza "and about $600 million in budget and development aid to the Palestinian Authority."

BLOG WATCH

THINK PROGRESS: Defense Secretary Robert Gates: President Obama is "more analytical" than President Bush.

WONK ROOM: The New York Times' coverage of the climate in the 1970s was a megaphone for science, not "global cooling" alarmism.

YGLESIAS: The conservative revolution devours its children.

NEWS HOUNDS: Despite a record of past disrespectful comments on sexual assault, Bill O'Reilly has been invited to speak at fundraising event for rape victims.

STATE WATCH

ILLINOIS: Gov. Patrick Quinn (D) said he would give Sen. Roland Burris (D) "two weeks to quit before urging Illinois lawmakers to consider a special election."

VIRGINIA: Virginia Gov. Tim Kaine (D) says the economic recovery package saved 7,100 state jobs.

CALIFORNIA
: Unemployment rate breaches 10 percent.

DAILY GRILL

"I don't think anyone wants anything to fail right now."
-- Rep. Eric Cantor (R-VA), 3/1/09

VERSUS

"Absolutely we hope his [Obama's] policies fail."
-- Former senator Rick Santorum, 2/29/09

INTERNSHIPS

The research team that brings you The Progress Report and ThinkProgress.org needs summer interns! Click here for more information.


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