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Think Progress

February 11, 2008
by Faiz Shakir, Amanda Terkel, Satyam Khanna, Matt Corley, Ali Frick, and Benjamin Armbruster
MILITARY

A Surge Of Military Strain

On Sept. 14, President Bush announced a "drawdown" of roughly 20,000 soldiers from Iraq by mid-summer. But during his State of the Union address last month, Bush signaled that he may halt the troop withdrawals, as he "emphasized the risks -- with no mention of the benefits -- of continuing the cutbacks beyond July." The military is operating under serious strain, with forces over-stretched between fighting two wars and sustaining the escalation in Iraq. A recent report by the Commission on the National Guard and Reserves found that the "military isn't ready for a catastrophic attack on the country." With Bush intent on maintaining escalated troops levels -- even at the cost of the battle in Afghanistan -- and some presidential candidates suggesting staying in Iraq for 100 years or more, the strains on the military are likely only to get worse.

STRAIN OF THE SURGE: Today, Defense Secretary Robert Gates "publicly endorsed the concept of ordering a pause in troop withdrawals from Iraq this summer," saying that "the notion of a brief period of consolidation and evaluation probably does make sense." Gates echoed sentiments from Gen. David Petraeus, who last month indicated that the drawdown may halt after this summer, when troop levels in Iraq reach roughly 140,000. "We will...need to have some time to let things settle a bit," Petraeus said. Yet maintaining such high troop levels is unsustainable. Last month, Army Chief of Staff Gen. George Casey said, "The surge sucked all of the flexibility out of the system." In September, Casey told Congress, "The current demand for our forces exceeds the sustainable supply." The "drawdown" was spurred by necessity. As Lt. Gen. Ray Odierno previously said, "We know that the surge forces will come at least through April...and then we'll have to start to reduce." Speaking yesterday on CNN's Late Edition, former Secretary of State Colin Powell agreed. "My own judgment, looking in from the outside, is that it can't be kept up indefinitely at the size of 140,000," Powell said. "It can't go on at that level much longer." 

STRAIN OF LONG DEPLOYMENTS: Last April, Gates announced that he was extending active tours of duty in Iraq from 12 to 15 months. These extended deployments, combined with only 12 months at home between tours, have put undue stress on soldiers and their families. In his testimony to the Senate Armed Services Committee last week, Joint Chiefs Chairman Adm. Mike Mullen noted that "this is the longest time that our All-Volunteer Force has been at war." "Our Service members, in particular our ground forces and their families, are under significant strain," Mullen said. He urged an end to 15-month deployments: "At our current force levels, we cannot sustain these cycles. Fifteen month deployments are too long." He suggested moving "as quickly as possible to twelve months deployed to be followed by twenty-four months at home." "The well is deep, but it is not infinite," Mullen said. "We must get Army deployments down to 12 months as soon as possible. People are tired." In September, Sen. Jim Webb (D-VA) introduced a bill requiring soldiers' home rest time to at least equal their active-duty deployment time, but he faced stiff opposition from conservatives. Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) said he hoped the Senate would "steadfastly reject this kind of micromanagement" because it "would create chaos." Bush threatened to veto the bill, and although 56 Senators voted to approve it, the measure failed. The Army is currently considering a proposal to cut troop deployments back to 12 months by August.

UNREADY FOR NEW THREATS: A sobering report from the Commission on the National Guard and Reserves "concludes that the nation 'does not have sufficient trained, ready forces available' to respond to a chemical, biological or nuclear weapons incident, 'an appalling gap that places the nation and its citizens at greater risk.'" "We must not allow the challenges of today to keep us from being prepared for the realities of tomorrow," Mullen said last week. "There is risk that we will be unable to rapidly respond to future threats to our vital national interests." With over-stretched forces focused on Iraq, the Taliban has regained large parts of southern Afghanistan. "Some way must be found to deal with this perpetual problem of Afghanistan being overshadowed by the Iraq war," Karl Inderfurth, a former senior diplomat in the Clinton administration, said last month. Center for American Progress scholars Caroline Wadhams and Lawrence J. Korb have called for a renewed commitment to the fight in Afghanistan. "Getting Afghanistan right is critical to preventing it from once again becoming a safe haven for terrorists," they write. "This is the war we cannot afford to lose."

UNDER THE RADAR

ETHICS -- EARMARK LED TO LAND DEAL BENEFITING EX-STEVENS AID: Newly released documents reveal that a $1.6 million earmark in 2005 by Sen. Ted Stevens (R-AK) "was manipulated to lead to the purchase of property owned by his former aide, Trevor McCabe, now an Anchorage fisheries lobbyist." The public records show that another Stevens employee-turned-lobbyist "acted as a go-between" connecting a Senate aide with the Alaska SeaLife Center, a federally supported marine research center and tourist attraction. The documents show that "the Senate aide was shopping for an entity that would guarantee the purchase of McCabe's property if it got the earmark." Stevens found such an entity in the SeaLife Center, to which he "has steered more than $50 million in federal funds to the nonprofit facility since it opened in 1998." The Center bought McCabe's property for $558,000 in 2006. The land sale -- paid for with money originally earmarked for "waterfront development and beautification" -- is under investigation "by the FBI and inspectors general from two federal departments, Interior and Commerce."

INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS -- LAWMAKERS SAY BUSH SIGNING STATEMENT UNDERMINES SUDAN DIVESTMENT ACT: In late December, Congress unanimously passed the Sudan Accountability and Divestment Act, making it easier for "states, local governments and private investors to cut investment ties with Sudan as a way to pressure the Khartoum government into ending violence in the country's Darfur region." Despite the fact that President Bush opposed the legislation, he went on to sign the bill. But he added a signing statement in which he reserved the right to "overrule" divestment decisions if they conflict with administration foreign policy. Members of both parties criticized the President for including the signing statement, since it "undercut the purpose of the law, which was to reassure local governments and fund managers that they would not face lawsuits if they divested from foreign companies with ties to Sudan." Rep. Barney Frank (D-MA) said, "The president was entitled to oppose the bill, the president was entitled to have the State Department lobby against it. He was even entitled to veto it. What he is not entitled to do is, having failed in those efforts, and having declined to veto it, to then unilaterally undermine it by a signing statement which will vitiate its intended effect." Twenty-two states and more than fifty universities have already "passed divestment measures from problematic companies in Sudan."

ADMINISTRATION - BUSH INCLUDES NUMEROUS EARMARKS IN NEW BUDGET: In his latest State of the Union speech, President Bush declared that "[t]he people's trust in their government is undermined by congressional earmarks," vowing to veto any "appropriations bill that does not cut the number and cost of earmarks in half." Yet Bush "was notably silent on the subject until after his fellow Republicans lost control of Congress in the 2006 midterm elections." The New York Times notes that now, "complaining about earmarks is much easier when your party is not writing the spending bills." Despite Bush's recent criticism of earmarks, his record breaking $3.1 trillion budget requests funding for thousands of similar projects, including "money to build fish hatcheries, eradicate agricultural pests, conduct research, pave highways, dredge harbors and perform many other specific local tasks." While Bush has said that congressional earmarks set for the current fiscal year are the work of "special interests" and waste tax dollars, those earmarks are "similar or identical to ones included in the 2009 budget that Mr. Bush sent Congress last week."


THINK FAST

In Baghdad today, Defense Secretary Robert Gates "publicly endorsed the concept of ordering a pause in troop withdrawals from Iraq this summer" after the removal of five brigades returns the number of deployed troops to pre-surge levels. "A brief period of consolidation and evaluation probably does make sense," said Gates after meeting with Gen. David Petraeus.

The Decider failed to decide. A Rand Corp. study of post-war failures in Iraq -- which the Army attempted to bury -- chided President Bush for failing to make key decisions prior to the war. "Throughout the planning process, tensions between the Defense Department and the State Department were never mediated by the president or his staff," the report said.

Vice President Cheney is trying to "block the release of video depositions by White House aides" in a lawsuit "by a man who was arrested after he allegedly touched Cheney at a Colorado shopping mall in 2006." Cheney's lawyers expressed concern that the videos could "embarrass and even humiliate" the aides if posted to YouTube.

"The media have been barred from covering" Karl Rove's speech to students at Choate Rosemary Hall, a prestigious prep school, today. Rove and the school's headmaster "decided mutually to exclude the media." Rove was originally set to speak at the school's commencement, but his speech was moved to today after student protests. 

President Bush will give "Congress a fresh assessment of the troubled economy as he prepares to sign a $168 billion stimulus package into law." Yesterday, Commerce Secretary Carlos Gutierrez said the "U.S.'s economic growth rate is expected to slow in the first half of 2008, but it is likely to recover to an acceptable rate in the second quarter of the year."

Coal utilities and the Bush administration "suffered another setback with a federal appeals court decision," which "slap[ped] down the Environmental Protection Agency's decision to 'delist' mercury from a list of pollutants it is required to control at each power plant."

Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez threatened to cut off oil sales to the United States in an "economic war" if Exxon Mobil Corp. wins court judgments to seize billions of dollars in Venezuelan assets.

"Despite the political minefields that surround the issue," House Democrats are drafting stopgap immigration reform legislation that would likely include "five-year visas for illegal immigrants who pay fines and pass criminal background checks."

And finally: Last week's Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) was, as always, "full of colorful characters and even more colorful posters, t-shirts and signs." The DC Examiner photographed the top 10 CPAC signs here.



GOOD NEWS

"Government scientists have discovered a new way that H.I.V. attacks human cells, an advance that could provide fresh avenues for the development of additional therapies to stop AIDS, they reported on Sunday."

STATE WATCH

MAINE: "Despite snowfall, Democrats in Maine more than doubled the state's previous turnout record for presidential caucuses Sunday."

NEW YORK: "New York legislators are looking for a raise of as much as 22 percent, saying the $79,500 base salaries they earn are not enough."

ENVIRONMENT: Major drought has "added urgency to Georgia's generations-old claim that its territory should extend about a mile farther north."

BLOG WATCH

THINK PROGRESS: Rep. Ginny Brown-Waite (R-FL) refuses to apologize for referring to Puerto Ricans and Guamanians as "foreign citizens."

CARPETBAGGER REPORT: President Bush misleads military families, refuses to pay for troop-benefit program he touted in the State of the Union.

GLENN GREENWALD: Even President Bush rejects the slanted nature of questions about waterboarding from Fox News's Chris Wallace.

ABU AARDVARK: Increasing incidents of clashes between Anbar Awakening militias and the official security forces of the Iraqi government.

DAILY GRILL

"The people's trust in their Government is undermined by congressional earmarks."
-- President Bush, 1/28/08

VERSUS

"[S]ome of those earmarks were similar or identical to ones included in the 2009 budget that Mr. Bush sent Congress last week."
-- New York Times, 2/10/08


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