Think Progress

February 5, 2008
by Faiz Shakir, Amanda Terkel, Satyam Khanna, Matt Corley, Ali Frick, and Benjamin Armbruster
ECONOMY

Making The Bush Economy Permanent

President Bush took office in 2001 with an advantage few presidents have enjoyed: a $236 billion budget surplus. But Bush quickly "blew through" President Clinton's surplus. Now the next administration will have to pay the price for Bush's fiscal irresponsibility. With his new budget, Bush is trying to create the appearance of compensating for his fiscal exuberance, terminating or reducing 151 government programs -- while still producing near record deficits. While Bush's budget plan "has little chance of surviving in a Democratic Congress," he is in effect washing his hands clean of his economic mismanagement, delaying "until 2009 decisions on how to cope with short- and long-term financial problems." The next president will "inherit a fiscal meltdown,"Senate Budget Committee Chairman Kent Conrad (D-ND) said. Conrad and Sen. Judd Gregg (R-NH) are considering setting up "a bipartisan commission to help the next president and Congress deal with these issues, possibly through legislation."

IRRESPONSIBILITY OF BUSH'S TAX CUTS:
In 2001, Bush said his tax cuts would cost the government $1.3 trillion, but his 2009 budget -- which calls for making his signature tax cuts permanent -- indicates they would "cost the government more than $2 trillion in their second decade." Extending the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts would give the top one percent of households more than $1.1 trillion in benefits over the next decade, according to the Center for Budget and Policy Priorities -- more than the entire amount the government spends on elementary and secondary education or veterans' medical care. Without offsets, permanent tax cuts would increase deficits and add to national debt, "essentially doubl[ing] the size of the debt in 2050." Not surprisingly, Bush has not proposed adequate measures to pay for the cuts. Conrad noted the irony of preserving Bush's tax cuts while proposing devastating blows to Medicare and Medicaid. "We believe that is a very odd sense of priorities. That is not a sense of priorities that are shared by the American people," he said. The budget also includes $19.7 billion for SCHIP funding, but this would not "allow states to cover more uninsured children" and is still inadequate to maintain current programs.

EXORBITANT DEFICIT AND DEBT: "Slumping revenues and the cost of an economic rescue package will combine to produce a huge jump in the deficit to $410 billion this year and $407 billion in 2009, the White House says, just shy of the record $413 billion set four years ago." This deficit will undoubtedly hamstring future administrations. For example, budget experts "agree that there is not enough money to be had" from conservative approaches to cut "wasteful federal spending." But the White House remains cheerful. "This budget is one that keeps spending under control," Bush trumpeted. And while Bush has attempted to embrace fiscal conservatism by cutting earmarks, his budget would only cut pork by $18 billion, a number "so small as to be of symbolic importance." Furthermore, unless the "economy rebounds" and revenue pours in, "deficits will push the cumulative federal debt past $12 trillion in the next five years." "I would suggest to you the debt is the threat," Conrad stated, saying Bush will likely see an "almost a doubling of the national debt on his watch."

THE SECRET BUDGET: The "budget achieves balance by 2012," Bush said yesterday. But the forecast is likely to be worse than what the White House is saying. To achieve its deficit goals, the White House predicts the economy will grow at 2.7 percent rate this year, "higher than what private sector economists" anticipate and a full point higher than the Congressional Budget Office's projections. House Budget Committee Chairman John Spratt (D-SC) said a more likely scenario is a "deficit that remains in the $200 billion range in 2012." Moreover, billions in spending are unaccounted for in the budget. For example, Bush budgeted $70 billion for the Iraq and Afghanistan wars -- but only accounted for costs up to the first half of FY2009. In reality, around $200 billion is expected to be spent. Furthermore, Bush did not take into account the costs "of assuring that higher alternative minimum tax rates originally aimed at several hundred very wealthy people don't hit tens of millions of middle-income earners." Conrad accused Bush of "hide-the-ball budgeting." Gregg concluded that this budget is "not a serious budget."

UNDER THE RADAR

ADMINISTRATION -- IN QUEST FOR MORE SURVEILLANCE POWERS, BUSH IGNORES OVERSIGHT BOARD: In 2004, the 9/11 Commission recommended that the U.S. government establish the Privacy and Civil Liberties Board in order to safeguard Americans' privacy and civil liberties in the wake of post-9/11 national security laws. On Jan. 30, the board members' terms expired, but the Bush administration has yet to nominate any candidates to fill the positions. "This leaves the board without any members, even as Congress prepares to give the Bush administration extraordinary powers to wiretap without warrants inside the United States." Indeed, the board has previously served to help the Bush administration in a political crisis. In May 2007, Lanny Davis -- the sole Democrat on the board -- resigned in protest after the Bush administration "made more than 200 revisions" to the panel's first report to Congress, one of which was meant to give the White House political cover during the U.S. attorney scandal.

MEDIA -- IRAQ BECOMES 'DEADLIEST CONFLICT FOR JOURNALISTS IN RECENT HISTORY': An annual report released yesterday by the Committee to Protect Journalists (CPJ) found that worldwide, "65 journalists were killed in 2007," marking "the highest toll in more than a decade." Thirty-two journalists were killed in Iraq in 2007, bringing the total to a record "174 media personnel" killed since the war began in 2003. Journalists in Iraq have described conditions there "as the most perilous they have ever encountered." Fifty-eight percent say that "at least one of their Iraqi staff had been killed or kidnapped in the last year alone," and "eight out of ten, feel that, over time, conditions for telling the story of Iraq have gotten worse, not better." In Nov. 2007, the United States, Britain, and France agreed to take more steps to protect journalists reporting from war zones. "'The United States is absolutely committed to protection of journalists in conflict zones,' John Bellinger III, the State Department's legal adviser, said in a statement. Media rights campaigners cautiously welcomed the pledge, but said it would be measured by what the countries did in practice."

ENVIRONMENT -- JUDGE OVERRULES BUSH, REINSTATES SONAR CURBS: A federal judge ruled yesterday that President Bush overstepped his authority when he ordered the Navy exempt from environmental laws limiting the use of sonar off the California coast. U.S. District Judge Florence-Marie Cooper ruled that there was "no reason to exempt the navy from a court injunction barring the use of powerful submarine-detecting radar in a 12-mile zone off Southern California, which is a habitat for dolphins, whales and other animals." Environmental groups hailed the decision to curb sonar use by the Navy, which scientists say "can damage the brains and ears of marine mammals." Bush signed a waiver last month allowing the Navy to continue using sonar off Southern California, saying the Navy's training exercises were "essential to national security."In overruling Bush's waiver, however, Judge Cooper wrote that the the Navy is not exempt from complying with the National Environmental Policy Act and expressed "significant concerns" about the constitutionality of the exemption. A lawyer for the National Resources Defense Council, which spearheaded the legal fight, praised the judge's decision, saying that it "reinstates the proper balance between national security and environmental protection."


THINK FAST

Voters in 24 states will head to polls for today's Super Tuesday, the "biggest primary day in U.S. history." With 1,023 Republican and 1,681 Democratic delegates at stake, some election observers are worried about "chaos at the polling booths with malfunctioning machines and disputed results."

The former chairman of Anglo-Dutch oil giant Shell has called on the European Union to ban gas-guzzling cars, saying they are unnecessary. "Nobody needs a car that does 10-15 mpg," Mark Moody-Stuart said.

President Bush's budget failed to provide any funding for the FOIA Ombudsman's Office in the National Archives and Records Administration and attempts to shift the responsibilities of that office to the Department of Justice. Sen. Patrick Leahy (D-VT) said that putting the Justice Department in charge of transparency in government is a conflict of interest.

Attorney General Michael Mukasey reversed a 2003 decision barring a gay advocacy group from using "the e-mail, bulletin boards and meeting rooms at the Justice Department" and "issued a revised equal-employment-opportunity policy barring discrimination against any group." 

"Senate Majority Whip Dick Durbin (D-IL) has placed a hold on the nomination of Mark Filip to be deputy attorney general" until Attorney General Mukasey answers questions on torture and detainee abuse cases "contained in three Durbin letters to the Justice Department dating back to 2005."

Britain's Prince Andrew, who is fourth in line to the throne, yesterday "launched a sharp attack" against President Bush for "failing to listen to Britain during the conflict in Iraq." He added that since the Iraq war, Britons have been left with a "healthy skepticism" toward what is said in Washington.

"Businesses that rely on seasonal workers are scrambling to fill positions, and some are shutting down, because there are fewer visas for the foreign workers who usually fill the jobs."

President Bush's budget, released yesterday, would slash funding for the Environmental Protection Agency "by $330 million from fiscal 2008 to $7.1 billion, with significant drops in spending on clean-water projects. The proposal calls for an overall decrease of almost $600 million from EPA spending in 2007 and the elimination of five programs."

And finally: Craig Ferguson, host of The Late, Late Show on CBS, has been chosen as the entertainment for this year's White House Correspondents' Association (WHCA) dinner. Ferguson seems to be a "middle ground" choice between last year's performance by Rich Little -- which was "dated and irrelevant" and Stephen Colbert in 2006 -- who was too "edgy." President Bush is "reportedly pleased" with the choice of Ferguson.



GOOD NEWS

"A federal judge in Los Angeles on Monday rejected the Bush administration's attempt to exempt Navy sonar training from key environmental laws, saying that there's no real emergency to justify overruling court-ordered protections for whales and dolphins."

STATE WATCH

MARYLAND: New proposal says "all couples -- straight or gay -- would be on equal footing with secular unions."

FLORIDA: "Between 40,000 and 60,000 students -- many of them minorities -- could be denied an education in one of Florida's 11 public universities."

ECONOMY: The President's budget would push states deeper into financial crises.

BLOG WATCH

THINK PROGRESS: As it guts Medicare and Medicaid, the White House claims America has "the best health care in the world."

CAMPAIGN FOR AMERICA'S FUTURE: Register now for Take Back America 2008.

CAMPUS PROGRESS: Campus Progress explains to the Young America's Foundation why conservatives won't capture the youth vote.

DAILY GRILL

"[T]he bill sends hundreds of millions of dollars to people who do not pay federal income taxes, including residents of Puerto Rico and territories like Guam. I do not believe American taxpayer funds should be sent to foreign citizens who do not pay taxes."
-- Rep. Ginny Brown-Waite (R-FL), 1/29/08

VERSUS

"Puerto Ricans were made American citizens in 1917, almost two decades after the United States invaded the island during the Spanish- American war."
-- Orlando Sentinel, 2/4/08


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