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Think Progress

January 28, 2008
by Faiz Shakir, Amanda Terkel, Satyam Khanna, Matt Corley, and Ali Frick
STATE OF THE UNION

The Lame Duck Address

Tonight, President Bush will deliver his seventh and final State of the Union address. "Bush faces a steep challenge in persuading Americans to heed his words on the war, economic policy or any other issue, according to administration officials, lawmakers and outside observers," notes the Washington Post today. In fact, Bush's State of the Union (SOTU) speech will "skip bold proposals in favor of ones the country has heard before, a modest approach for a White House that prides itself on big ideas." Attempting to shift blame for Bush's inaction to Congress, White House Press Secretary Dana Perino said, "It's just not realistic," baselessly labeling the 110th Congress the "do-nothing Congress." "American people are looking for a new direction and leadership from Washington," noted Rep. Rahm Emanuel (D-IL). "But what will the American people hear from the President during his State of the Union address? In the words of the White House: 'no new ideas.' The time has come to trade no ideas for new ideas; lethargy for leadership.'" (See the top 99 failures of the Bush administration HERE).

FAILED DOMESTIC POLICIES:
Examining Bush's past SOTU addresses reveals a host of failed proposals. "I hope you will join me to pay down $2 trillion in debt," Bush asked Congress in 2001. But under Bush, the debt will top $10 trillion by Jan. 2009. Bush vowed to help Katrina victims in his 2006 address, but notoriously did not even mention Katrina in his 2007 SOTU. In 2005, he called for the privatization of Social Security, an unpopular plan that also eventually failed. In 2007, Bush called for a "serious, civil, and conclusive debate" on comprehensive immigration reform but was unable to muster support from his conservative base to pass immigration legislation.

FAILING FOREIGN POLICIES: Currently, 28 percent approve of the way Bush is handing Iraq, but Bush will press that "more time is needed for the Iraqi government to reach a political settlement" and be responsible for security. Bush has been using the SOTU to tout false promises on Iraq for years. In 2004, he claimed that Iraqis were assuming more responsibility for security "month by month." Now Iraqi officials say they can't defend Iraq until 2018. "And our plan will help the Iraqi government take back its capital and make good on its commitments," Bush said in 2007, referring to political benchmarks. Today, the Iraqi government has met only three of 18 benchmarks. Furthermore, the unpopular President will also use tonight to "ask voters to trust him with more surveillance authority." Bush's Middle East peace push, the "initiative that has the most potential upside in terms of helping him to build a strong legacy," is now "on life support," said columnist Jim Hoagland.

ECONOMIC WOES: The economy is the number one issue for voters this year, but Bush will enter tonight with only 28 percent of the public approving of his handling of the issue -- compared with 41 percent a year ago. Bush's "speech tonight will press Congress to complete work" on a bipartisan stimulus package. This weekend, Bush said additions to the stimulus would "undermine this important bipartisan agreement." But Bush and his conservative allies blocked important provisions from being considered for the stimulus package, including unemployment benefits and food stamps. Lower-income Americans are "best positioned to spend the money needed to help our economy regain its footing," notes the Center for American Progress. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) said he may press for these add-ons this week.

AN IRRELEVANT LEADER?: Bush's aides "privately acknowledg[e] that the moments when Bush can be relevant are dwindling fast." Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) will skip the speech. "George W. Bush destroyed the Republican Party...He did this on spending, the size of government, war, the ability to prosecute war, immigration and other issues," wrote Peggy Noonan last week. Even getting the public's attention for the speech will be a challenge. "Bush's overall approval rating was 32 percent, his lowest ever," reports the Washington Post. "[S]andwiched between Saturday's Democratic presidential primary in South Carolina and Tuesday's Republican contest in Florida, Bush will face the challenge of making himself heard above the growing din of the 2008 campaign," Reuters notes.

UNDER THE RADAR

CIVIL LIBERTIES -- BUSH THREATENS TO VETO TEMPORARY EXTENSION OF FISA LEGISLATION: This afternoon, the Senate will vote on whether to cut off debate on reauthorizing the current form of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA), which expires on Friday. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV), who is working against the motion because conservatives have blocked all efforts to offer amendments, has sought "a brief extension of current law so that existing intelligence collection authorities are not allowed to expire while we complete work on this important bill." But on Saturday, the White House told Democratic congressional leaders that President Bush "would veto a 30-day extension," claiming that Congress needs "the heat of the current law lapsing to get this done." Reid responded forcefully to Bush's threat, saying that opposition to "a short extension" was "shamefully irresponsible" and "simply posturing in advance of Monday's State of the Union address." "If there is any problem" with intelligence collection activities if the law expires, "the blame will clearly and unequivocally fall where it belongs: on President Bush and his allies in Congress," said Reid. Bush fearmongered about FISA in his weekly radio address this weekend, stating that "we cannot afford to wait until after an attack to put the pieces together."

ADMINISTRATION -- WHITE HOUSE CONSIDERS INDUSTRY SHILL FOR CONSUMER SAFETY POST: 
On Saturday, the Washington Post reported that the White House was considering Gail Charnley to head the Consumer Product Safety Commission (CPSC). Charnley appears to be cut from the same cloth as her anti-regulation predecessors, who have severely weakened the commission. She was a consultant for the tobacco industry, and in 2006, she "wrote an op-ed article in the St. Louis Post-Dispatch opposing tougher restrictions on power-plant emissions...on behalf of Americans for Balanced Energy Choices," a coal-industry front group. As The Pump Handle notes, "for the last two years, Dr. Charnley has been traveling around the country on behalf of the Center for Energy and Economic Development (CEED), a coal industry group fighting for looser environmental controls." Charnley did not disclose her relationship with CEED when she wrote a March 2006 paper on the risk of mercury emissions from coal power plants. In that report, she dismissed mercury as "a global problem," concluding that "limiting US power plant emissions alone will have little impact." She also wrote a study that "states there is little evidence that environmental exposures play a significant role in childhood disease and government agencies do not know which environmental exposures actually pose risks to children," suggesting government regulation was ineffective and pointless.

CONGRESS -- PERINO BASELESSLY CLAIMS 2007 WAS YEAR OF 'DO-NOTHING CONGRESS': During the White House press briefing on Friday, a reporter asked spokeswoman Dana Perino if the reason President Bush's final State of the Union will not be addressing Social Security or immigration is because such bold proposals would be "politically not possible." Saying the President had shown "very bold leadership" in the past, Perino argued that Bush is avoiding "big ideas" because "it is unrealistic to expect" Congress to take them on this year. Placing blame solely on the legislative branch, Perino continued, "Remember, 2007 was labeled the 'do-nothing Congress.' Hopefully in 2008, there are some things that we can get done." Despite Perino's rhetoric, a recent New York Times op-ed by Brookings Institution Senior Fellow Thomas Mann showed that "the 110th Congress does deserve some praise" because "in 2007, the level of energy and activity on Capitol Hill picked up markedly." Mann also stated that last year's Congress outperformed the Newt Gingrich "Contract for America" Congress in 1995, the closest historical analogue.


THINK FAST

Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) told a crowd of supporters on Sunday, "It's a tough war we're in. It's not going to be over right away. There's going to be other wars." 

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad will make a historic trip to Iraq sometime before March 19 -- the first such visit ever by an Iranian leader. "Iraqi officials said Iraqi President Jalal Talabani, a Kurd who has close relations with Iran's ruling clergy, invited Ahmadinejad to visit."

The former CEO of Countrywide Financial, Angelo Mozilo, is giving up $37.5 million of severance pay "in the face of pressure from politicians who have berated him for continuing to collect large sums from the mortgage lender even as millions of Americans face the threat of foreclosure."

"Automakers and their allies have stepped up lobbying to convince states that a proposal by California to cut tailpipe emissions sharply to fight global warming could further depress the struggling U.S. industry." The Bush administration recently blocked the initiative, but California and 15 other states are suing the EPA to have the ruling overturned. 

Today, the Washington Post is launching The Root, "an online magazine primarily for a black audience, with news and commentary on politics and culture, and tools for readers to research their family histories." The magazine will be edited by Harvard University professor and writer Henry Louis Gates Jr.

Haaretz finds that "the annual global report on anti-Semitism...presented to the cabinet Sunday morning points to a rise in anti-Semitic incidents in Germany, Australia, the United States and Ukraine together with an overall decrease in Western Europe."

Reflecting "growing recognition that the United States risks further setbacks, if not deepening conflict or even defeat, in Afghanistan," the Bush administration is seeking to "re-energize its terrorism-fighting war efforts" in the country while also "refocusing on Pakistan, where a regenerating al-Qaida is posing fresh threats."

Private security contractors operating in Iraq are recruiting heavily from the needy in Latin America. For Latin American recruits, the pay is the major lure. "It's a hard-to-match deal for ex-soldiers and cops with little education. Some returnees even describe the postings nostalgically as a kind of dream job."

And finally: Watch out for the State of the Union (SOTU) squatters. Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-FL), a regular squatter, will be arriving at the House chamber more than five hours before tonight's SOTU address in order to score an aisle seat "so her constituents, friends and family can see her whisper into the president's ear before he addresses the nation." Ros-Lehtinen plans to bring a "mountain of paperwork" to pass the time waiting. Other famous squatters include Reps. Jean Schmidt (R-OH) and Michelle Bachmann (R-MN).



GOOD NEWS

"Black and Hispanic children have made significant gains in health, safety and income over the past two decades, narrowing gaps between them and white children, according to a pioneering report on child development to be released Tuesday."

STATE WATCH

ALASKA: "More than 3 million acres of pristine wilderness" in Alaska "would be open to logging and road building under a new management plan released Friday by the U.S. Forest Service."

WEST VIRGINIA
: Federal regulators ignore thousands of mine safety fines.

ECONOMY: States "are turning to the Senate as their best hope for getting a fiscal a lifeline in economic-stimulus legislation."

BLOG WATCH

THINK PROGRESS: MSNBC's Keith Olbermann: I'd sacrifice my personal success for a "responsible presidency."

BALKINIZATION: Attorney General Michael Mukasey continues to refuse to say whether waterboarding is torture.

CAMPAIGN FOR AMERICA'S FUTURE: The real State of the Union: call President Bush's bluff.

WASHINGTON INDEPENDENT: The Center for Independent Media launches a new Washington, DC-based journalism project.

DAILY GRILL

"It is unrealistic to expect that this Congress is going to take on such big problems this year. ... Remember, 2007 was labeled the 'do-nothing Congress.'"
-- White House Press Secretary Dana Perino, 1/25/08

VERSUS

"In terms of both the number and significance of new public laws, however, last year's Democratic majority significantly outperformed that Republican Congress."
-- Brookings Institution scholars Thomas E. Mann and Molly Reynolds, 1/19/08


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